{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"Yahoo Finance price/volume; Trend Screeners model-book calculations","sourceUrl":"https://finance.yahoo.com/","generated":"2026-07-29","calculation":"advance = (peakPrice / pivot - 1) * 100; percentages rounded in article","limitations":"Retrospectively selected historical case, not a strategy success rate or realized investment return. Weekly chart data only; daily/hourly trade-simulation inputs are not included.","case":{"slug":"model-nvr-inc-2000","sym":"NVR","name":"NVR Inc.","market":"US","bench":"S&P 500","baseStart":"2000-11-06","baseEnd":"2000-12-18","baseLen":7,"baseDepth":27.9,"baseLow":81.65,"baseLowDate":"2000-11-20","pivot":113.2,"breakout":"2000-12-25","breakoutClose":123.6,"volSurge":109,"peak":"2005-07-25","peakPrice":947.95,"advance":737.4,"weeks":239,"shakeout":36.9,"shakeFrom":"2002-04-29","shakeTo":"2002-07-22","ongoing":false},"weeklyColumns":["date","open","high","low","close","volume"],"weekly":[["1999-11-08",47.1875,49,47,48.25,142300],["1999-11-15",48.5,50.25,48.25,50.125,101300],["1999-11-22",50,50,47.625,48.6875,95700],["1999-11-29",48.75,49.8125,46,46.625,234000],["1999-12-06",46.625,46.8125,44.3125,44.5,123100],["1999-12-13",44.25,44.3125,43,43.4375,64900],["1999-12-20",43.25,44.25,42.5,44,79300],["1999-12-27",44.375,47.75,44.375,47.75,102400],["2000-01-03",47.75,47.75,45.5,46.75,173400],["2000-01-10",47.125,49.125,47,48.8125,79100],["2000-01-17",48.625,49,47.5,48.5625,82700],["2000-01-24",48.75,49.25,46.375,46.375,125500],["2000-01-31",46.375,46.375,43.75,45.3125,80100],["2000-02-07",45.3125,46.75,42,42.5,193000],["2000-02-14",42.375,44.375,42.25,43.1875,86900],["2000-02-21",43,44.625,42.25,44.125,151800],["2000-02-28",44,44.75,43.1875,44.1875,184000],["2000-03-06",44.0625,44.875,44,44.625,72200],["2000-03-13",44.5625,50.75,44.25,49.5,123100],["2000-03-20",49.5,54.6875,49.125,53.8125,117600],["2000-03-27",53.5625,57,51.625,54,230400],["2000-04-03",54.25,56.75,54,55.875,225500],["2000-04-10",55.8125,55.8125,53.75,53.8125,164000],["2000-04-17",53.75,53.75,52.125,53.1875,87800],["2000-04-24",53.1875,63.3125,53.125,62,297800],["2000-05-01",62.5,65,60.625,62.5,558900],["2000-05-08",62.125,63.375,61.75,62.375,367900],["2000-05-15",62.125,62.375,58.75,59.1875,143700],["2000-05-22",59,59.1875,55.125,55.125,157500],["2000-05-29",55.1875,55.75,54.875,55.6875,59500],["2000-06-05",55.9375,57,55.5,55.5,65900],["2000-06-12",55,56.375,54.25,55.375,160900],["2000-06-19",55.25,55.9375,53.875,54.5,58300],["2000-06-26",54.375,60.25,54.375,57,164400],["2000-07-03",57,61.375,57,60.9375,50400],["2000-07-10",60.9375,60.9375,59.125,59.75,70200],["2000-07-17",60,61.875,59.375,61.375,58600],["2000-07-24",61.5,61.875,58.75,59.9375,80200],["2000-07-31",60,67,59.75,66.375,93100],["2000-08-07",66.125,72.875,66.125,72,204800],["2000-08-14",72,74.25,70.25,71,106400],["2000-08-21",71.25,72,69.625,69.625,82200],["2000-08-28",69.875,74,69.875,72,75000],["2000-09-04",72.125,77.5625,71.1875,77.125,128300],["2000-09-11",77.375,79.75,77.25,78.3125,80900],["2000-09-18",78.3125,79.875,77.375,78.75,113600],["2000-09-25",78.3,81.25,78.25,81,96500],["2000-10-02",81.25,82.15,76.5,76.5,122000],["2000-10-09",76,80.1,75.95,79.26,142300],["2000-10-16",79.5,82.8,79.1,82.4,76800],["2000-10-23",82.65,95.5,82.65,95.25,183800],["2000-10-30",96.5,106,94.5,102.97,209300],["2000-11-06",104.95,113.2,95.5,96.18,171000],["2000-11-13",96.18,108.3,93.5,96.5,139400],["2000-11-20",97,97,81.65,86.5,138200],["2000-11-27",86.75,94.5,86.75,92.38,198300],["2000-12-04",92,108.49,91.8,107.75,235500],["2000-12-11",109,109.99,99.5,103.75,249100],["2000-12-18",104.75,109.99,101.2,107,197200],["2000-12-25",107.25,128.74,107.25,123.6,317400],["2001-01-01",123.6,124.5,112.75,124.5,413300],["2001-01-08",129.5,137.5,124.5,127.52,623500],["2001-01-15",126.5,130,117,118.5,356100],["2001-01-22",118.25,118.5,103,114.1,414300],["2001-01-29",113.5,119.75,111.75,114.37,257200],["2001-02-05",113.5,134.94,111.5,129.4,618800],["2001-02-12",128.5,149.03,128.44,142.6,414800],["2001-02-19",143.5,143.8,130,135.75,319800],["2001-02-26",136,154.67,136,152.93,445800],["2001-03-05",157,166.5,153.5,158.03,411400],["2001-03-12",158.03,158.03,149,150.7,406500],["2001-03-19",150.2,163,150,159.95,388500],["2001-03-26",162.5,178.5,160.5,163,423900],["2001-04-02",163.5,171.39,160,166,518200],["2001-04-09",164.75,170.24,164.75,168.49,249100],["2001-04-16",167,178,162.5,170.6,414500],["2001-04-23",169.5,196,169.25,196,405300],["2001-04-30",199.9,199.91,180.5,185.25,488800],["2001-05-07",186,205.03,186,192.6,355000],["2001-05-14",192.6,203,191,194.95,315000],["2001-05-21",194.95,194.95,177.49,177.49,402600],["2001-05-28",175,175.5,163,170,504300],["2001-06-04",168,169.5,149.5,158,687100],["2001-06-11",156,157,141,141,259300],["2001-06-18",141,161.75,139.75,152.4,449700],["2001-06-25",154,161,148,148,357100],["2001-07-02",150,162.5,149,157.25,275700],["2001-07-09",156,164,151.5,163.75,297000],["2001-07-16",164.5,183,161.5,176.5,339500],["2001-07-23",174.5,176,162,166.1,350600],["2001-07-30",165.5,180.96,165,175,323600],["2001-08-06",174.5,174.5,155,157.95,343400],["2001-08-13",155,160.5,148.9,154,346600],["2001-08-20",154.25,164,151.02,164,306400],["2001-08-27",163.99,164.99,157.3,161,217500],["2001-09-03",162,170,159,161.41,420700],["2001-09-10",160,160,155,155.85,97900],["2001-09-17",136,147.8,126.25,131,564500],["2001-09-24",134,145,132.08,140.51,424800],["2001-10-01",141,152.97,136,146.45,446800],["2001-10-08",145,164,141.97,158,408400],["2001-10-15",157.5,170,153,158.5,380700],["2001-10-22",158,163.5,156.25,162.95,397000],["2001-10-29",162.5,169.99,153.25,163,367300],["2001-11-05",163.3,178.75,159.5,168.6,311300],["2001-11-12",167.4,181.15,165.25,172.69,314900],["2001-11-19",173,174.5,163.25,167.04,174800],["2001-11-26",166.8,187.5,162.25,181.5,449900],["2001-12-03",181,200.97,177.5,191.5,480400],["2001-12-10",191,197.95,184,192.5,263000],["2001-12-17",192.5,213.75,191.5,196.6,339300],["2001-12-24",195.5,203.5,194,203.5,160300],["2001-12-31",201.5,205,193.25,193.95,303800],["2002-01-07",193.95,204.77,193.5,195.5,282200],["2002-01-14",194.1,204.99,192.31,202.05,274700],["2002-01-21",202.3,217.98,200.1,216.94,409700],["2002-01-28",215,245,215,242.12,734000],["2002-02-04",242.75,256,238.55,250,756600],["2002-02-11",248,265.99,246.4,259,396200],["2002-02-18",263,263.05,248.53,262.55,450200],["2002-02-25",263.55,301.4,263.55,290.71,811300],["2002-03-04",300,306.99,285,293.4,637500],["2002-03-11",292.01,302.95,284.25,288.6,582800],["2002-03-18",290,293.5,268,292.75,922500],["2002-03-25",299,323.99,292.01,315.5,863800],["2002-04-01",313.75,334.95,311.51,331.75,574900],["2002-04-08",331,355,328.06,355,672300],["2002-04-15",353,372,347,367,920800],["2002-04-22",368,383,363.25,365.4,712100],["2002-04-29",363.4,391,363.4,383.25,717600],["2002-05-06",378.25,384,362,362.01,676600],["2002-05-13",367,382.99,352.93,363.25,821900],["2002-05-20",366.25,369.99,348,362,482400],["2002-05-27",363,363.5,330,331,469100],["2002-06-03",327,342.75,313.65,335,684600],["2002-06-10",335,341,314,319.5,510900],["2002-06-17",320,352,319.75,341,621500],["2002-06-24",341.5,349.5,322.28,323,876100],["2002-07-01",325,328.49,293.25,322,567300],["2002-07-08",322.75,324,286.31,292,597700],["2002-07-15",291,300,263.75,267.75,768800],["2002-07-22",264.75,291,242,278,1030600],["2002-07-29",278.5,297.95,265,269.35,755200],["2002-08-05",269,295.99,264,295.94,645100],["2002-08-12",295,313.87,285.6,308,519700],["2002-08-19",308,324.5,306.5,317.5,396200],["2002-08-26",317.5,329.5,294,296.5,500100],["2002-09-02",295.5,320.59,288.01,318,453900],["2002-09-09",318.25,329.5,313,325.3,402800],["2002-09-16",324.5,333,305.5,316.98,710500],["2002-09-23",316.99,319.5,292,302.95,676900],["2002-09-30",302.96,319,283,287,696200],["2002-10-07",287.01,297.97,270.5,295.5,652800],["2002-10-14",293.5,324,292,323,461500],["2002-10-21",321.25,347.98,317.5,338.25,637100],["2002-10-28",340.25,346.25,328,346.25,428400],["2002-11-04",346.26,356,313.1,313.12,647300],["2002-11-11",312,333,306,325,345400],["2002-11-18",326,346,311.5,334.5,500000],["2002-11-25",334,347.55,330,331,277600],["2002-12-02",331,338.5,311,322,793000],["2002-12-09",320,324.99,305,323,499800],["2002-12-16",325,343,325,334.75,331500],["2002-12-23",335.75,344,331.55,332,138200],["2002-12-30",333,339.4,316,335.5,349300],["2003-01-06",335.51,349.5,330.5,346.5,411800],["2003-01-13",347.25,350.59,341,348,360200],["2003-01-20",350.5,353.99,332.21,333.5,473300],["2003-01-27",328.5,335.99,321,332.5,458300],["2003-02-03",332.51,337.87,324.5,329.1,455800],["2003-02-10",330.5,335.5,320.55,332.98,398800],["2003-02-17",332.5,338.29,330,334,263500],["2003-02-24",333,336,325.1,331.95,457100],["2003-03-03",332.5,334,300.96,307.05,612100],["2003-03-10",308.25,323,297.01,318.75,432900],["2003-03-17",318,349.99,317,349.75,398100],["2003-03-24",349.75,349.75,330.5,338,418600],["2003-03-31",338.01,349.5,326.5,345.5,320500],["2003-04-07",346.5,359.45,341.98,357.75,345500],["2003-04-14",356.75,369.99,356,362.25,261800],["2003-04-21",362.25,367.25,353.5,363.68,367900],["2003-04-28",364,367.75,352,360,270100],["2003-05-05",360.01,378.4,357,378.25,415900],["2003-05-12",378.26,388.75,377.5,384.75,309400],["2003-05-19",383.75,397.92,370,397.85,438200],["2003-05-26",396,411.68,393,407.75,552600],["2003-06-02",405,429.75,398,413.25,389100],["2003-06-09",411.25,426,398,424.55,300000],["2003-06-16",423.55,442,405.5,406.5,310800],["2003-06-23",407,423,399,414.95,309900],["2003-06-30",414.96,423.5,404.25,423,227600],["2003-07-07",424,437.5,421.11,434.99,289300],["2003-07-14",435,444,407,412.5,458200],["2003-07-21",412,415.95,396.5,408.02,715200],["2003-07-28",408.02,418.75,404.5,410.6,437000],["2003-08-04",410.6,424.99,406,422,429300],["2003-08-11",422.25,428.99,412.05,421,426000],["2003-08-18",421,441,421,438.5,331500],["2003-08-25",437.5,437.75,426.35,433.5,192900],["2003-09-01",433.5,461.45,431.55,456.5,405100],["2003-09-08",456.75,459,436,449.5,249700],["2003-09-15",450,465,449,465,223300],["2003-09-22",462,464.95,452,460,233400],["2003-09-29",461,491.45,460,489,316300],["2003-10-06",488,530,487,529.5,272600],["2003-10-13",525.5,541.35,496.96,500,371500],["2003-10-20",496,496.95,477.02,479.24,493500],["2003-10-27",479,496,479,489.4,326900],["2003-11-03",488,504.75,466.5,466.5,465700],["2003-11-10",469,481.89,465.25,472.5,278300],["2003-11-17",472.5,478,467.5,475.25,279500],["2003-11-24",477.25,494,476.53,491,220100],["2003-12-01",491,496,479,481,272000],["2003-12-08",481.25,488.85,467.05,488,435100],["2003-12-15"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